In our newest study for the Irish Department of Business, Enterprise and Innovation, we find that a comprehensive EU-UK Free Trade Agreement could significantly reduce Brexit’s negative impact on the Irish economy. 

The findings suggest that a Brexit outcome based on the revised Political Declaration, agreed in October 2019, is likely to reduce Irish GDP by between 3.2% and 3.9% by 2030 compared with a baseline scenario where the UK remains a member of the EU. This compares to a negative impact of 7.0% in case of a no-deal scenario, modelled in a previous Copenhagen Economics study. 

Learn more about the study
For further information, please contact Erik Dahlberg