Modern economies depend on increasingly complex, global supply chains that face mounting pressures from geopolitical tensions, technological disruption, and climate risks. At the same time, a renewed political focus on national security of supply is reshaping how governments intervene in markets, from state aid to industrial consolidation. As governments across Europe invest unprecedented resources in defence readiness, including through the EU SAFE facility and national defence industrial strategies, the need for sophisticated economic guidance has never been greater.
At Copenhagen Economics, our Defence & Supply Chain Resilience team combines deep expertise in supply chain economics, critical infrastructures, state aid & auction design, and impact assessment to help clients navigate this complex landscape. We support both public and private sector clients in building resilient defence while maintaining competitive markets and achieving value for money.
Whether you are designing procurement strategies, assessing supply chain vulnerabilities, or structuring defence investments, we help you move from uncertainty to informed decisions through sound economic analysis.
We draw on experience from both regulatory authorities and private sector engagements, giving us unique insight into how policy frameworks and market dynamics interact in practice.
By combining state-of-the-art economic tools with in-depth sectoral understanding, we deliver clear and actionable recommendations for decision-makers.
Reach out to us if you want to manage strategic dependencies or ensure the security of supply across critical sectors. Our expertise spans across a great variety of industries – from defence and energy to delivery logistics, healthcare, technology, and beyond.
We map critical inputs, from critical raw materials to finished systems, across the full value chain to identify single-source risks and develop costed mitigation strategies. Our analysis helps clients understand where vulnerabilities exist and how to address them cost-effectively. We also advise on prioritising critical infrastructure across sectors such as energy, telecommunications, pharmaceuticals, and logistics and assess their contributions to resilience.
Together with our Tender & Auction Support team, we design market-based mechanisms that secure surge production capabilities while keeping prices competitive. Our work includes standby capacity payment structures, innovative tender/auction formats for defence contracts, and value-for-money assessments that reflect strategic priorities beyond cost alone. We also support companies facing high-stakes procurement processes – to shape the rules of the tender, and to optimise bid strategy.
We guide clients through European defence funding opportunities, including the EU SAFE facility and national investment programmes. Our State Aid team supports the design of blended finance arrangements and helps navigate Article 346 exemptions. We also advise on how different financial instruments can be used to solve the investment gap.
Using our global, climate economic model INTERSECT and tailored scenarios, we conduct impact assessments to quantify the economic effects of geopolitical shocks, supply chain disruptions such as tariffs or export restrictions, as well as technological change. Our stress testing identifies readiness gaps and supports contingency investment strategies across multiple threat scenarios.
Building on our Valuation services, we assess the economic value of dual-use technologies, design royalty-sharing frameworks for defence innovations, and structure cross-border IP arrangements for multinational collaborations. Our analysis helps clients maximise the commercial value of defence R&D while meeting security requirements.
